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Crato vs Icasa

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dentinho
46' Event
Edson Carius
57' Event
Paulinho Cearense

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Crato and Icasa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Icasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Crato
30%
Draws
37%
Icasa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / High Confidence
  • Crato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Icasa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Crato Clean Sheet 19%
Icasa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crato Icasa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Icasa
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crato
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Icasa
1:1
Feb 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crato
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Serie D
Icasa vs Crato
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Cearense
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dentinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edson Carius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crato 24 / 100
Icasa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crato Icasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crato scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Icasa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Crato went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crato VS Icasa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crato

(Home)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

Icasa

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)