Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crato vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estádio Mirandão, Araguaína
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Claudinho
33' Event
Paulinho Cearense
(Penalty)
51' Event
Luiz Fernando

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Crato
30%
Draws
37%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itapipoca lately — more wins on the board than Crato.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Crato taking it.
  • Itapipoca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Crato Clean Sheet 20%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crato Itapipoca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crato
2:0
May 23, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Itapipoca
2:2
Feb 12, 2014 Cearense
Itapipoca vs Crato
2:0
Jan 12, 2014 Cearense
Crato vs Itapipoca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Fernando
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crato 36 / 100
Itapipoca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crato Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crato found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Itapipoca let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Crato has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crato VS Itapipoca
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crato

(Home)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
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Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Icasa -
TBD -
Crateus 1
Cariri FC 0
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Crato 3
Guarany SC 1
Semi-finals
Icasa 3
Crateus 0
Itapipoca 4
Crato 2
Final
Icasa 1
Itapipoca 2