Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crawley Town vs Barnet

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crawley Town host Barnet in the League Two. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Crawley Town have averaged 0.82 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Barnet's 2.07 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Crawley Town have won 2 to Barnet's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.13) point toward Barnet. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Crawley Town
35%
Draws
58%
Barnet
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Crawley Town haven't matched Barnet's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Barnet a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Barnet Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Barnet
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.82 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Barnet
0:0
Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Barnet
1:1
Jan 1, 2026 League Two
Barnet vs Crawley Town
2:1
Jan 13, 2018 League Two
Crawley Town vs Barnet
2:0
Sep 23, 2017 League Two
Barnet vs Crawley Town
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 10 / 100
Barnet 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Barnet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Crawley Town scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Crawley Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Barnet
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Barnet

(Away)
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1
Fleetwood Town
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1
Accrington
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3
Barnet
01 Sept
Exeter
1 : 1
Barnet
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Walsall 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
3 Grimsby 7 3 4 0 11:6 13
4 Gillingham 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
5 Cheltenham 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
6 Bristol Rovers 7 4 0 3 12:11 12
7 York City 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
8 Chesterfield 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 Crewe 7 2 5 0 7:5 11
10 Tranmere 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
11 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
12 Salford 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
13 Swindon 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
14 Rotherham 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
15 Colchester 7 2 3 2 8:10 9
16 Oldham 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
17 Rochdale 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
18 Shrewsbury 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
19 Newport 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
20 Exeter 7 1 3 3 4:5 6
21 Accrington 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)