Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
James T.
29'
Leigh T.
31'
Watson L.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bristol Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crawley Town
15%
Draws
59%
Bristol Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bristol Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bristol Rovers come out ahead of Crawley Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bristol Rovers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 18%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Bristol Rovers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 League One
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crawley Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer James T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamwa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 20 / 100
Bristol Rovers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Bristol Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Crawley Town scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Crawley Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Bristol Rovers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2
Crawley Town
15 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 1
Crewe
08 Aug
Watford
1 : 0
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Bristol Rovers

(Away)
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0
Colchester
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3
Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3
Newport
15 Aug
York City
3 : 2
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
2 Swindon 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3 Barnet 5 2 3 0 12:8 9
4 Tranmere 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Walsall 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
6 Fleetwood Town 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
7 Crewe 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Cheltenham 5 2 2 1 10:9 8
9 York City 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
10 Oldham 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
11 Grimsby 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
12 Colchester 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
13 Gillingham 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
14 Northampton 5 1 3 1 3:3 6
15 Salford 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
16 Exeter 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
17 Chesterfield 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
18 Rotherham 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
19 Accrington 5 1 2 2 9:11 5
20 Newport 5 1 1 3 9:10 4
21 Crawley Town 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
22 Rochdale 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
23 Shrewsbury 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
24 Port Vale 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)