Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
James T.
29'
Leigh T.
31'
Watson L.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bristol Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Crawley Town
15%
Draws
0%
Bristol Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crawley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bristol Rovers come out ahead of Crawley Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Crawley Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 68%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Bristol Rovers
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 League One
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crawley Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer James T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamwa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 95 / 100
Bristol Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Bristol Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Rovers's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Crawley Town found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Bristol Rovers has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Bristol Rovers
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3
Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Crawley Town
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2
Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Bristol Rovers

(Away)
20 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Salford
17 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Bristol Rovers
10 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 3
Barnet
06 Oct
Wycombe
4 : 1
Bristol Rovers
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 12 8 1 3 19:12 25
2 Barnet 10 6 3 1 23:15 21
3 Crewe 12 5 6 1 15:11 21
4 Walsall 11 4 7 0 16:7 19
5 Cheltenham 12 5 3 4 21:22 18
6 York City 11 4 5 2 19:13 17
7 Gillingham 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
8 Shrewsbury 12 5 2 5 13:17 17
9 Chesterfield 12 4 4 4 18:16 16
10 Exeter 12 4 4 4 8:6 16
11 Accrington 12 3 6 3 17:16 15
12 Newport 12 3 6 3 16:15 15
13 Tranmere 12 3 6 3 15:15 15
14 Rochdale 12 4 3 5 15:17 15
15 Swindon 12 4 3 5 13:16 15
16 Bristol Rovers 12 5 0 7 16:20 15
17 Grimsby 12 3 5 4 15:15 14
18 Fleetwood Town 12 3 5 4 14:15 14
19 Colchester 11 2 6 3 11:14 12
20 Port Vale 10 3 3 4 6:10 12
21 Oldham 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
22 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 14:20 11
23 Northampton 10 2 4 4 6:8 10
24 Crawley Town 10 1 2 7 11:20 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)