Sport Picks
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Prediction & H2H Stats
England
League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley 
Match Events
7'
7'
Morgan D.
Assist: Orsi-Dadomo D.
32'
32'
McCann C.
35'
35'
Weimann A.
Assist: Shipley J.
AI Match Summary
Cheltenham in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheltenham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cheltenham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Crawley Town haven't matched Cheltenham's recent run of results.
- Cheltenham are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crawley Town | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.85 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Crawley Town
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham
2:0
Apr 16, 2021 League Two
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham
1:0
Oct 10, 2020 League Two
Cheltenham vs Crawley Town
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crawley Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Morgan D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer McCann C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Weimann A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crawley Town 14 / 100
Cheltenham 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crawley Town Cheltenham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cheltenham conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Crawley Town's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Solid form: Crawley Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crawley Town VS Cheltenham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Crawley Town
(Home) 22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2 Bristol Rovers
15 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 1 Crewe
31 Jul
Crawley Town
0 : 1 Reading
02 May
Crawley Town
0 : 0 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Cheltenham
(Away) 26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2 Cheltenham
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1 Cheltenham
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
