Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crawley Town vs Crewe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Gibson J.
31'
Arthurs J.
46'
Sub
Mannone V. In: Michalski N.
Out: Mannone V.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Crawley Town and Crewe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crawley Town
15%
Draws
59%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crewe come out ahead of Crawley Town on wins alone.
  • Crawley Town are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Crewe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 68%
Crewe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Crewe
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.12 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Crewe
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Crewe
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Crawley Town
1:0
May 19, 2024 League Two
Crawley Town vs Crewe
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Crawley Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crawley Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer March J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 59 / 100
Crewe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crawley Town scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Crewe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Crawley Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Crewe
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3
Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Crawley Town
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2
Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Crewe

(Away)
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2
Rochdale
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
06 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2
Crewe
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 12 8 1 3 19:12 25
2 Barnet 10 6 3 1 23:15 21
3 Crewe 12 5 6 1 15:11 21
4 Walsall 11 4 7 0 16:7 19
5 Cheltenham 12 5 3 4 21:22 18
6 York City 11 4 5 2 19:13 17
7 Gillingham 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
8 Shrewsbury 12 5 2 5 13:17 17
9 Chesterfield 12 4 4 4 18:16 16
10 Exeter 12 4 4 4 8:6 16
11 Accrington 12 3 6 3 17:16 15
12 Newport 12 3 6 3 16:15 15
13 Tranmere 12 3 6 3 15:15 15
14 Rochdale 12 4 3 5 15:17 15
15 Swindon 12 4 3 5 13:16 15
16 Bristol Rovers 12 5 0 7 16:20 15
17 Grimsby 12 3 5 4 15:15 14
18 Fleetwood Town 12 3 5 4 14:15 14
19 Colchester 11 2 6 3 11:14 12
20 Port Vale 10 3 3 4 6:10 12
21 Oldham 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
22 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 14:20 11
23 Northampton 10 2 4 4 6:8 10
24 Crawley Town 10 1 2 7 11:20 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)