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Crawley Town vs Tranmere - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crawley Town host Tranmere in the League Two. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Crawley Town have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Tranmere's 1 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Crawley Town have won 3 to Tranmere's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Crawley Town. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crawley Town
35%
Draws
39%
Tranmere
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Crawley Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Crawley Town a 26% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 16%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Tranmere
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Crawley Town
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Tranmere
0:2
Mar 23, 2024 League Two
Tranmere vs Crawley Town
1:3
Sep 16, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Tranmere
3:2
Apr 15, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Tranmere
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 75 / 100
Tranmere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Crawley Town scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Tranmere conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Crawley Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Tranmere
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2
Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 5

Tranmere

(Away)
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1
Rochdale
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2
Tranmere
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1
Walsall
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)