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Cray Valley vs St. Albans

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 Badgers Sports Ground, Eltham
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Shomotun F.
51'
Hart S.
62' Event
Evans M.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Cray Valley and St. Albans finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cray Valley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cray Valley
35%
Draws
45%
St. Albans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Albans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St. Albans a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%
St. Albans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cray Valley St. Albans
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs St. Albans
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Cray Valley
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cray Valley Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomotun F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

St. Albans Compare

Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cray Valley 14 / 100
St. Albans 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cray Valley St. Albans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Albans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cray Valley scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Albans conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Cray Valley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cray Valley VS St. Albans
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cray Valley

(Home)
29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1
Cray Valley
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
Page 1 of 6

St. Albans

(Away)
12 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 0
Three Bridges
08 Sept
Hashtag
0 : 2
St. Albans
05 Sept
St. Albans
0 : 0
Hashtag
31 Aug
Cheshunt
1 : 1
St. Albans
29 Aug
St. Albans
4 : 1
Stanway Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)