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CRB vs America MG

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Crystopher Ribeiro
Assist: Daniel
45'
Gustavo Barreto
46'
Sub
Alex Silva In: Fabio
Out: Alex Silva

AI Match Summary

CRB in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CRB
15%
Draws
34%
America MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CRB have won more games recently than America MG.
  • Model gives CRB a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CRB Clean Sheet 20%
America MG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB America MG
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.48 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs America MG
3:1
May 3, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs CRB
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs CRB
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Serie B
CRB vs America MG
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie B
CRB vs America MG
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Crystopher Ribeiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Bigode
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 85 / 100
America MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB America MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

CRB found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CRB has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS America MG
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
25 Aug
EC Juventude
2 : 1
CRB
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America MG

(Away)
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0
America MG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)