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CRB vs Botafogo SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
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Match Events

22' Event
Rafael Gava
Penalty Missed
22'
Bressan
45'
Gabriel Inocencio

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between CRB and Botafogo SP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CRB
20%
Draws
52%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CRB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CRB Clean Sheet 17%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB Botafogo SP
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Botafogo SP
0:1
Jun 30, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs CRB
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie B
CRB vs Botafogo SP
3:2
May 26, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs CRB
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs CRB
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Hygor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 31 / 100
Botafogo SP 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CRB found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Botafogo SP has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CRB went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS Botafogo SP
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
02 Nov
Goias
2 : 1
CRB
24 Oct
CRB
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
12 Oct
Fortaleza
2 : 2
CRB
07 Oct
CRB
3 : 1
Atletico GO
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Botafogo SP

(Away)
05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0
Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Sport Recife
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0
Ceara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
9 Sport Recife 37 14 13 10 50:42 55
10 Operario-PR 37 15 9 13 49:50 54
11 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
12 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)