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CRB vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Wallace In: Fabio Alemao
Out: Wallace
33'
Caique Valdivia
45'
Pedro Lucas

AI Match Summary

CRB in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CRB
20%
Draws
29%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CRB lately — more wins on the board than Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
  • Model gives CRB a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CRB have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CRB Clean Sheet 68%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 43 29
Wins 22 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.51 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CRB
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
CRB vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Alagoano
CRB vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 Alagoano
CRB vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:1
Jan 29, 2022 Alagoano
CRB vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Maycon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 86 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB Cruzeiro Arapiraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CRB's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: CRB remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
Page 1 of 9

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)