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CRB vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Willian Formiga
13' Event
Bressan
Assist: Dada Belmonte
18' Event
Mikael
Assist: Thiaguinho

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between CRB and Vila Nova FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CRB
20%
Draws
38%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of CRB on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CRB's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CRB Clean Sheet 12%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs CRB
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Serie B
CRB vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Jul 23, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs CRB
2:0
Sep 4, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs CRB
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bressan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vila Nova FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 40 / 100
Vila Nova FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CRB found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vila Nova FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CRB remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS Vila Nova FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
30 Jun
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
CRB
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Vila Nova FC

(Away)
22 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Fortaleza
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC
06 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
26 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2Operario-PR20105528:2535
3Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
4Novorizontino2096532:1933
5EC Juventude1995521:1232
6Fortaleza1994622:1931
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
12Athletic Club1969418:1727
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP1966724:2024
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai1955921:2620
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta19221514:388
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)