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Creck Sporting vs Baka City

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nasiyaya H.
20' Event
Kiyama A.
47' Event
Tambala Y.

AI Match Summary

Creck Sporting in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Creck Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Creck Sporting
30%
Draws
39%
Baka City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baka City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Creck Sporting have won more games recently than Baka City.
  • Creck Sporting are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Creck Sporting Clean Sheet 68%
Baka City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Creck Sporting Baka City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Baka City
8:0
May 25, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Creck Sporting
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Creck Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaomba G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nasiyaya H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Baka City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Creck Sporting 68 / 100
Baka City 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Creck Sporting Baka City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Creck Sporting Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baka City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Creck Sporting's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Creck Sporting remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Creck Sporting VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Creck Sporting

(Home)
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Silver Strikers
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
18 Jul
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Mitundu Baptist
Page 1 of 7

Baka City

(Away)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
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