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Creck Sporting vs Mighty Wanderers FC

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Creck Sporting play Mighty Wanderers FC in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Creck Sporting averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Mighty Wanderers FC averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. In past meetings, Creck Sporting won 0, Mighty Wanderers FC won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Creck Sporting and 1.63 for Mighty Wanderers FC. This points to a Mighty Wanderers FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Creck Sporting
34%
Draws
41%
Mighty Wanderers FC
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Creck Sporting picked up more points recently compared to Mighty Wanderers FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Creck Sporting Clean Sheet 14%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Creck Sporting Mighty Wanderers FC
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 19
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.81 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:2
Aug 27, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Creck Sporting
0:0
May 18, 2025 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:1
Dec 4, 2024 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Creck Sporting
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Creck Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mithi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamwendo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Creck Sporting 25 / 100
Mighty Wanderers FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Creck Sporting Mighty Wanderers FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mighty Wanderers FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Creck Sporting attacking → ← attacking Mighty Wanderers FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Creck Sporting scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Mighty Wanderers FC let in goals in 44% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Creck Sporting went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mighty Wanderers FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 68
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blue Eagles961214:819
2Big Bullets954012:619
3Mighty Wanderers FC953118:618
4Silver Strikers953114:318
5Ekhaya943212:615
6Red Lions94328:615
7Masters FC950411:1015
8Moyale Barracks93338:1012
9Mitundu Baptist93248:1011
10Civo Utd93246:911
11Chitipa United93156:1210
12MAFCO92347:89
13Karonga United92349:149
14Dedza Dynamos92255:158
15Creck Sporting91266:135
16Kamuzu Barracks91177:154