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Crema vs Pro Sesto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Costantino R.
82' Event
Viscardi D.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Mazzola G.

AI Match Summary

Pro Sesto in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Crema
15%
Draws
69%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pro Sesto lately — more wins on the board than Crema.
  • Pro Sesto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Crema Clean Sheet 10%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Pro Sesto
0:3
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Pro Sesto
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Crema
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Crema
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Pro Sesto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Costantino R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzola G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crema scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Pro Sesto conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Crema went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS Pro Sesto
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0
Crema
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 6

Pro Sesto

(Away)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)