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Cremonese U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Campo Amadio Soldi, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Laerke H.
61' Event
Frey D.
73' Event
Onyemachi D.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Cremonese U20 and Lecce U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cremonese U20
35%
Draws
65%
Lecce U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecce U20 come out ahead of Cremonese U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lecce U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cremonese U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese U20 Lecce U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Primavera 1
Cremonese U20 vs Lecce U20
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Cremonese U20
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Cremonese U20
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Primavera 1
Cremonese U20 vs Lecce U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Frey D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lecce U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Laerke H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onyemachi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese U20 10 / 100
Lecce U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese U20 Lecce U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lecce U20 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cremonese U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Lecce U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese U20 VS Lecce U20
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese U20

(Home)
15 May
Cremonese U20
1 : 2
Bologna U20
10 May
Fiorentina U20
6 : 1
Cremonese U20
01 May
Cremonese U20
2 : 3
AS Roma U20
25 Apr
Parma U20
2 : 0
Cremonese U20
19 Apr
Cremonese U20
1 : 3
Verona U20
Page 1 of 6

Lecce U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3
Lecce U20
22 Aug
Lecce U20
1 : 2
Lazio U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)