Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs AC Milan

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Fofana Y. In: Ricci S.
Out: Fofana Y.
62'
Sub
Saelemaekers A. In: Fullkrug N.
Out: Saelemaekers A.
66'
Sub
Bianchetti M. In: Terracciano F.
Out: Bianchetti M.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cremonese
6%
Draws
4%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Milan have won more games recently than Cremonese.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cremonese taking it.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 20%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese AC Milan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie A
Cremonese vs AC Milan
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Cremonese
1:2
May 3, 2023 Serie A
AC Milan vs Cremonese
1:1
Nov 8, 2022 Serie A
Cremonese vs AC Milan
0:0
May 12, 1996 Serie A
AC Milan vs Cremonese
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AC Milan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leao R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 85 / 100
AC Milan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Cremonese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: AC Milan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS AC Milan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
04 May
Cremonese
1 : 2
Lazio
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AC Milan

(Away)
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Genoa
1 : 2
AC Milan
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
03 May
Sassuolo
2 : 0
AC Milan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)