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Cremonese vs Cittadella

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Folino F.
'
'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cremonese
28%
Draws
22%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Cremonese.
  • Model gives Cremonese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Cittadella
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cittadella
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie B
Cittadella vs Cremonese
0:0
May 10, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cittadella
3:0
Oct 31, 2023 Coppa Italia
Cremonese vs Cittadella
2:1
Oct 27, 2023 Serie B
Cittadella vs Cremonese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Folino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cittadella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 59 / 100
Cittadella 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cittadella conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cremonese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cremonese scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Cittadella
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
04 May
Cremonese
1 : 2
Lazio
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Cittadella

(Away)
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1
Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Ravenna
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0
Lumezzane
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
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