Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs Cittadella

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Folino F.
82' Event
Falcinelli D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cremonese
15%
Draws
58%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Cremonese.
  • Model gives Cittadella a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 17%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Cittadella
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Cremonese vs Cittadella
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cittadella
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie B
Cittadella vs Cremonese
0:0
May 10, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cittadella
3:0
Oct 31, 2023 Coppa Italia
Cremonese vs Cittadella
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Folino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Falcinelli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 20 / 100
Cittadella 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cittadella conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Cremonese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cremonese scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Cittadella
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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Cittadella

(Away)
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1
Cittadella
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