Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs Lazio

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Baschirotto F. In: Bianchetti M.
Out: Baschirotto F.
29' Event
Bonazzoli F.
Assist: Floriani R.
40'
Provstgaard O.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cremonese
39%
Draws
30%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio have won more games recently than Cremonese.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 14%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Lazio
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Serie A
Cremonese vs Lazio
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Cremonese
0:0
May 28, 2023 Serie A
Lazio vs Cremonese
3:2
Sep 18, 2022 Serie A
Cremonese vs Lazio
0:4
Jan 14, 2020 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Cremonese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonazzoli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaksen G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noslin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 31 / 100
Lazio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lazio has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Cremonese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Lazio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Lazio
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
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Lazio

(Away)
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1
Pisa
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3
Inter
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)