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Cremonese vs Modena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Pontisso S.
24'
Olzer G.
30'
Gerli F.

AI Match Summary

Modena in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cremonese
20%
Draws
47%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cremonese lately — more wins on the board than Modena.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 17%
Modena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Modena
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.44
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Serie B
Cremonese vs Modena
0:3
Jan 26, 2025 Serie B
Cremonese vs Modena
2:2
Oct 29, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Cremonese
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Cremonese
0:1
Dec 23, 2023 Serie B
Cremonese vs Modena
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Olzer G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 36 / 100
Modena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cremonese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Modena conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Cremonese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Modena
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
31 Oct
Cremonese
2 : 0
Benevento
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Cremonese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
17 Oct
Pisa
3 : 1
Cremonese
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

Modena

(Away)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Vicenza
1 : 2
Modena
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
17 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Modena
11 Oct
Modena
3 : 2
Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)