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Cres vs Naprijed Hreljin Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Cres Logo

Cres

7 - 1
FT
Naprijed Hreljin Logo

Naprijed Hreljin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cres in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cres
15%
Draws
26%
Naprijed Hreljin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cres lately — more wins on the board than Naprijed Hreljin.
  • Model gives Cres a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cres Clean Sheet 20%
Naprijed Hreljin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cres Naprijed Hreljin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL West
Cres vs Naprijed Hreljin
7:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Cres
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL West
Cres vs Naprijed Hreljin
1:1
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Cres
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cres 85 / 100
Naprijed Hreljin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cres Naprijed Hreljin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naprijed Hreljin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Cres found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Cres went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cres VS Naprijed Hreljin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cres

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

Naprijed Hreljin

(Away)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Naprijed Hreljin
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Naprijed Hreljin
2 : 1
Vinodol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)