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Crewe U18 vs Bolton U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Crewe U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crewe U18
15%
Draws
59%
Bolton U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bolton U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolton U18 haven't matched Crewe U18's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bolton U18's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Crewe U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crewe U18, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Crewe U18 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Crewe U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Bolton U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe U18 Bolton U18
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.4 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2015 FA Youth Cup
Crewe U18 vs Bolton U18
5:0
Jan 21, 2012 Premier League U18
Bolton U18 vs Crewe U18
2:1
Nov 19, 2011 Premier League U18
Crewe U18 vs Bolton U18
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe U18 26 / 100
Bolton U18 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe U18 Bolton U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bolton U18 conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Crewe U18's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crewe U18 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crewe U18 VS Bolton U18
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3.4 Goals Conceded 2.25
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe U18

(Home)
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1
Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0
Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0
Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1
Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3
Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6

Bolton U18

(Away)
14 Jan
Bolton U18
1 : 3
Stevenage U18
30 Jan
Bolton U18
0 : 3
Leicester U18
18 Jan
Crystal Palace U18
2 : 4
Bolton U18
09 May
Southampton U18
1 : 2
Bolton U18
02 May
Bolton U18
1 : 1
Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Manchester City U18 8
Coventry U18 2
Mansfield U18 0
Stoke City U18 3
Arsenal U18 2
Royston Town U18 1
Crewe U18 5
Bolton U18 0
Everton U18 1
Southampton U18 2
Leicester U18 1
Chesterfield U18 0
Liverpool U18 5
Derby U18 2
Blackpool U18 1
Birmingham U18 2
West Brom U18 0
Nottingham U18 3
Burnley U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
Tottenham U18 2
Wolves U18 0
Manchester United U18 3
Hull U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Ipswich U18 1
Middlesbrough U18 2
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Chelsea U18 6
Huddersfield U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Doncaster U18 1
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Stoke City U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Crewe U18 3
Southampton U18 0
Leicester U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Birmingham U18 3
Nottingham U18 2
Burnley U18 0
Tottenham U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Sunderland U18 0
Newcastle Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 6
Swansea U18 0
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 6
Crewe U18 1
Leicester U18 2
Birmingham U18 1
Nottingham U18 1
Tottenham U18 2
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Chelsea U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 5
Leicester U18 1
Tottenham U18 4
Chelsea U18 5
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Chelsea U18 5