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Crewe U23 vs Barnsley U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Evans C.
47' Event
Sraha J.
85' Event
O'Riordan C.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Crewe U23 and Barnsley U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Crewe U23
30%
Draws
58%
Barnsley U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barnsley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Barnsley U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barnsley U23 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Crewe U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Barnsley U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe U23 Barnsley U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2022 Professional Development League
Barnsley U23 vs Crewe U23
1:1
Oct 20, 2021 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Barnsley U23
2:1
Feb 1, 2021 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Barnsley U23
0:0
Dec 8, 2020 Professional Development League
Barnsley U23 vs Crewe U23
2:1
Mar 30, 2020 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Barnsley U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Riordan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Barnsley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sraha J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe U23 15 / 100
Barnsley U23 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe U23 Barnsley U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnsley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe U23 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Barnsley U23 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crewe U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe U23 VS Barnsley U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
28 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Charlton U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley U23

(Away)
03 May
Watford U23
2 : 1
Barnsley U23
25 Apr
Barnsley U23
1 : 1
Bristol City U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
18 Mar
Barnsley U23
3 : 1
Peterborough U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)