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Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Crewe at 1.45 goals for, 1.35 against; AFC Wimbledon at 0.72 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor AFC Wimbledon slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.88 - 0.94) back Crewe to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Crewe
20%
Draws
10%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Crewe taking it.
  • Crewe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Crewe Clean Sheet 68%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2025 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe
3:0
Jan 28, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe
2:2
Jan 7, 2023 League Two
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 86 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS AFC Wimbledon
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1
Barnet
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1
Crewe
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2
Rochdale
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 7

AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
31 Oct
Stockport County
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
27 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 2
Arsenal U21
24 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1
Wycombe
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3
Mansfield
17 Oct
Sheffield Wed
5 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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