Sport Picks

Crewe vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Crewe

4 - 1

Aston Villa U21

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Lunt O.

31'

Offord L.

Assist: Agius C.

34'

Sub

Lunt O. In: Mlynarski P.

Out: Lunt O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Crewe

20%

Draws

40%

Aston Villa U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Aston Villa U21 have won more games recently than Crewe.
Model gives Aston Villa U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
Aston Villa U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Crewe Clean Sheet 15%

Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Crewe	Aston Villa U21
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	9	11
Draws	10	5
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.41	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Crewe vs Aston Villa U21

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lankester J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Offord L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenner M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 23 / 100

Aston Villa U21 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Crewe Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Aston Villa U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Aston Villa U21

1.75 Goals Scored 2

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86

88% Over 1.5 71%

38% Over 2.5 71%

38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)

31 Oct

Crewe

1 : 1

Barnet

24 Oct

Chesterfield

5 : 1

Crewe

20 Oct

Exeter

2 : 0

Crewe

17 Oct

Crewe

3 : 2

Rochdale

10 Oct

Swindon

0 : 1

Crewe

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Aston Villa U21

(Away)

27 Oct

Blackpool

3 : 2

Aston Villa U21

17 Oct

Burnley U21

0 : 1

Aston Villa U21

22 Sept

Crewe

4 : 1

Aston Villa U21

18 Sept

Aston Villa U21

2 : 2

Middlesbrough U21

15 Sept

Aston Villa U21

5 : 1

Real Sociedad B

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