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Crewe vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Crewe Park, Lisburn
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
15' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Crewe and Ballymena finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Crewe
20%
Draws
58%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballymena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Crewe Clean Sheet 14%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Ballymena
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 11 16
Draws 1 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Ballymena
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 10 / 100
Ballymena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Crewe found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Ballymena has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Crewe has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballymena
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
22 Jul
Crewe
0 : 8
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Dollingstown
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Ballymena
28 Sept
Crewe
3 : 4
Crumlin United
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
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Ballymena

(Away)
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2
Ballymena
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
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