Sport Picks
Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons
England
League Two 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 
Match Events
12'
12'
Nelson C.
Assist: Kelly L.
45'
45'
Ekpiteta M.
Assist: Mendez-Laing N.
46'
46'
Sub
O'Reilly T. In: Thibaut A.
Out: O'Reilly T.
AI Match Summary
Milton Keynes Dons in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Milton Keynes Dons.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Crewe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Crewe haven't matched Milton Keynes Dons's recent run of results.
- Model gives Crewe a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Milton Keynes Dons have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crewe Clean Sheet 16%
Milton Keynes Dons Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crewe | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe
3:1
Apr 21, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
Dec 29, 2024 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Thibaut A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Milton Keynes Dons Compare
Top Goalscorer Nelson C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ekpiteta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crewe 57 / 100
Milton Keynes Dons 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crewe Milton Keynes Dons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crewe scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Milton Keynes Dons let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Crewe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crewe VS Milton Keynes Dons
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home) 01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
18 Apr
Crewe
1 : 3 Milton Keynes Dons
06 Apr
Crewe
1 : 0 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Milton Keynes Dons
(Away) 01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Wealdstone
2 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
22 Jul
Tottenham
1 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
17 Jul
Istra 1961
2 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Wealdstone
2 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
22 Jul
Tottenham
1 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
17 Jul
Istra 1961
2 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
