Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Drummond K.
Assist: Payne K.
34'
34'
Hutchinson R.
Assist: Holicek M.
46'
46'
Sub
Lankester J. In: Powell J.
Out: Lankester J.
AI Match Summary
Crewe in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crewe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crewe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oldham lately — more wins on the board than Crewe.
- Crewe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Crewe Clean Sheet 68%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crewe | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Oldham
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Crewe
0:0
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Oldham vs Crewe
2:1
Feb 8, 2020 League Two
Crewe vs Oldham
2:1
Aug 10, 2019 League Two
Oldham vs Crewe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Hutchinson R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Holicek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Drummond K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crewe 86 / 100
Oldham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crewe Oldham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crewe found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Oldham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Crewe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crewe VS Oldham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home) 08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1 Accrington
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1 Accrington
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
18 Apr
Crewe
1 : 3 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 3
Oldham
(Away) 08 Aug
Stoke City
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stoke City
2 : 0 Oldham
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2 Oldham
14 Apr
Barrow
3 : 2 Oldham
11 Apr
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 Oldham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
