Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Oldham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Drummond K.
Assist: Payne K.
34' Event
Hutchinson R.
Assist: Holicek M.
46'
Sub
Lankester J. In: Powell J.
Out: Lankester J.

AI Match Summary

Crewe in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Crewe
20%
Draws
34%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oldham lately — more wins on the board than Crewe.
  • Crewe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Crewe Clean Sheet 19%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Oldham
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Oldham
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Crewe
0:0
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Oldham vs Crewe
2:1
Feb 8, 2020 League Two
Crewe vs Oldham
2:1
Aug 10, 2019 League Two
Oldham vs Crewe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holicek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Drummond K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 42 / 100
Oldham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Oldham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crewe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Oldham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3
Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1
Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Oldham

(Away)
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0
Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)