Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Shrewsbury

England England

League Two Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
White J.
22'
Lee I.
22'
Cowan G.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Crewe and Shrewsbury finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Crewe
35%
Draws
24%
Shrewsbury
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Shrewsbury haven't matched Crewe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Crewe a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Crewe Clean Sheet 68%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Shrewsbury
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Jan 15, 2022 League One
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 League One
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 95 / 100
Shrewsbury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Shrewsbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Crewe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Crewe scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Shrewsbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Shrewsbury
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2
Walsall
Page 1 of 6

Shrewsbury

(Away)
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Walsall 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
3 Grimsby 7 3 4 0 11:6 13
4 Gillingham 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
5 Cheltenham 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
6 Bristol Rovers 7 4 0 3 12:11 12
7 York City 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
8 Chesterfield 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 Crewe 7 2 5 0 7:5 11
10 Tranmere 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
11 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
12 Salford 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
13 Swindon 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
14 Rotherham 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
15 Colchester 7 2 3 2 8:10 9
16 Oldham 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
17 Rochdale 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
18 Shrewsbury 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
19 Newport 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
20 Exeter 7 1 3 3 4:5 6
21 Accrington 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)