Sport Picks
Crewe vs Shrewsbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 
Match Events
5'
5'
White J.
22'
22'
Lee I.
22'
22'
Cowan G.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Crewe and Shrewsbury finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shrewsbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shrewsbury have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — Crewe are scoring more at 1.48.
- Model gives Shrewsbury a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Crewe Clean Sheet 13%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crewe | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Jan 15, 2022 League One
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 League One
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Shrewsbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Lloyd G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crewe 14 / 100
Shrewsbury 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crewe Shrewsbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shrewsbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crewe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Shrewsbury let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crewe VS Shrewsbury
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home) 10 Nov
Crewe
1 : 2 Wigan
07 Nov
Crewe
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1 Barnet
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Crewe
1 : 2 Wigan
07 Nov
Crewe
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1 Barnet
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2 Rochdale
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Shrewsbury
(Away) 07 Nov
Eastleigh
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 Gillingham
27 Oct
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 Everton U21
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3 Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Eastleigh
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3 Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3 Shrewsbury
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
