Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Tranmere

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Plant J.
46'
Sub
Thibaut A. In: Bogle O.
Out: Thibaut A.
51'
Finley S.

AI Match Summary

Crewe in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Crewe
20%
Draws
33%
Tranmere
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Tranmere.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Crewe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Crewe Clean Sheet 18%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Tranmere
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Tranmere
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Crewe
1:4
Apr 26, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Crewe
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Tranmere
3:1
Feb 3, 2024 League Two
Tranmere vs Crewe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader March J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Plant J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 58 / 100
Tranmere 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Tranmere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crewe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Tranmere
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
15 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 1
Crewe
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1
Accrington
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Tranmere

(Away)
15 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3
Rochdale
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0
Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1
Grimsby
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0
Tranmere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)