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Stadium Background

Crewe vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Pressley A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Skura D. In: Burke H.
Out: Skura D.
50' Event
March J.
Assist: Tabiner J.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Crewe and Walsall finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crewe
15%
Draws
51%
Walsall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crewe come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Walsall taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%
Walsall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Walsall
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Walsall
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Walsall
0:3
Dec 26, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Crewe
1:0
May 3, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Walsall
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Crewe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer March J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hutchinson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Pressley A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 22 / 100
Walsall 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walsall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Walsall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Walsall's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Walsall
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
10 Nov
Crewe
1 : 2
Wigan
07 Nov
Crewe
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1
Barnet
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1
Crewe
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
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Walsall

(Away)
10 Nov
Leicester
2 : 1
Walsall
07 Nov
Newport
3 : 1
Walsall
31 Oct
Colchester
1 : 3
Walsall
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4
Salford
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)