Sport Picks

Crewe vs Wigan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Wigan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Crewe have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Wigan's 1.11 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Wigan slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.00) back Crewe to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Crewe

30%

Draws

33%

Wigan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Crewe average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Wigan's 1.11.
Model gives Crewe a 37% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Crewe Clean Sheet 20%

Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Crewe	Wigan
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	10	6
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.43	1.11
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2022 League One

Crewe vs Wigan

0:2

Feb 15, 2022 League One

Wigan vs Crewe

2:0

Oct 5, 2021 EFL Trophy

Crewe vs Wigan

2:0

Apr 17, 2021 League One

Wigan vs Crewe

2:0

Oct 10, 2020 League One

Crewe vs Wigan

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 85 / 100

Wigan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Crewe Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Wigan

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)

06 Oct

Blackpool

3 : 2

Crewe

03 Oct

Crewe

3 : 1

Bristol Rovers

26 Sept

Rotherham

1 : 1

Crewe

22 Sept

Crewe

4 : 1

Aston Villa U21

19 Sept

Crewe

1 : 1

Shrewsbury

Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)

22 Sept

Wigan

3 : 2

Blackpool

19 Sept

Wigan

0 : 1

Wycombe

12 Sept

Sheffield Wed

0 : 0

Wigan

05 Sept

Wigan

0 : 4

Stockport County

02 Sept

Wigan

3 : 1

Milton Keynes Dons

Page 1 of 6