Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Offord L.
Assist: Agius C.
13'
13'
Banks O.
29'
29'
Billington L.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Crewe and York City finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- York City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Crewe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Crewe Clean Sheet 17%
York City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crewe | York City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs York City
1:1
Nov 7, 2009 FA Cup
York City vs Crewe
3:2
Aug 21, 2001 EFL Cup
York City vs Crewe
2:3
May 3, 1997 League One
York City vs Crewe
1:1
Oct 15, 1996 League One
Crewe vs York City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Offord L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Newby A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crewe 41 / 100
York City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crewe York City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crewe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Crewe's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
York City has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Crewe VS York City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home) 22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 3
York City
(Away) 22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 York City
14 Jul
Pickering Town
4 : 2 York City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
