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Crewe vs York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Offord L.
Assist: Agius C.
13'
Banks O.
29'
Billington L.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Crewe and York City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crewe
15%
Draws
51%
York City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%
York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe York City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs York City
1:1
Nov 7, 2009 FA Cup
York City vs Crewe
3:2
Aug 21, 2001 EFL Cup
York City vs Crewe
2:3
May 3, 1997 League One
York City vs Crewe
1:1
Oct 15, 1996 League One
Crewe vs York City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Offord L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 34 / 100
York City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick York City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

York City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

York City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS York City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
10 Nov
Crewe
1 : 2
Wigan
07 Nov
Crewe
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1
Barnet
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1
Crewe
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

York City

(Away)
10 Nov
Bradford City
4 : 0
York City
07 Nov
York City
4 : 0
Northampton
31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2
York City
27 Oct
Barnet
3 : 1
York City
24 Oct
York City
2 : 0
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)