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Criciuma U20 vs Barra FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Alves H.
31' Event
Bidu
45' Event
Lima T.

AI Match Summary

Criciuma U20 in this Catarinense U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Criciuma U20
39%
Draws
30%
Barra FC U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra FC U20 haven't matched Criciuma U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Criciuma U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Criciuma U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma U20 Barra FC U20
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Barra FC U20
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Criciuma U20
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Criciuma U20
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Barra FC U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Barra FC U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bidu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma U20 30 / 100
Barra FC U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma U20 Barra FC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Criciuma U20 scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Barra FC U20 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma U20 VS Barra FC U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma U20

(Home)
19 Jul
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
15 Jul
Criciuma U20
1 : 0
Concordia U20
11 Jul
Avai U20
0 : 0
Criciuma U20
08 Jul
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
04 Jul
Nacao U20
0 : 1
Criciuma U20
Page 1 of 8

Barra FC U20

(Away)
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
13 Jul
Barra FC U20
3 : 1
Carlos Renaux U20
08 Jul
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
04 Jul
Barra FC U20
3 : 0
Brusque U20
27 Jun
Figueirense U20
3 : 2
Barra FC U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chapecoense-SC U206
Figueirense U203
Barra FC U201
Criciuma U202
Final
Chapecoense-SC U202
Criciuma U203