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Criciuma vs Avai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Criciuma Logo

Criciuma

3 - 0
FT
Avai Logo

Avai

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Rildo In: Gabriel Cipriano
Out: Rildo
27'
Ze Ricardo
34'
Paulo Vitor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Criciuma and Avai finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
37%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Criciuma are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Avai
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 21 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Avai
3:0
May 30, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Criciuma
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Avai
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Criciuma
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Avai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luciano Castan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Avai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 59 / 100
Avai 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Criciuma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Avai
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
Page 1 of 8

Avai

(Away)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)