Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Criciuma host Avai in the Serie B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Criciuma at 1.1 goals for, 0.93 against; Avai at 1.23 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Criciuma have won 3 to Avai's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.88 - 1.00) back Criciuma to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
49%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Avai are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 20%
Avai Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Avai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Criciuma
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Avai
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Criciuma
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Avai
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Catarinense
Avai vs Criciuma
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 28 / 100
Avai 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Avai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Avai
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
3 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)