Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Carlos J.
42'
42'
Fabricio
86'
86'
Thiago
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Criciuma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Camboriu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Criciuma come out ahead of Camboriu on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Criciuma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 28%
Camboriu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Criciuma | Camboriu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Camboriu
4:2
Mar 4, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Criciuma
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Criciuma
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Camboriu vs Criciuma
3:3
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Criciuma vs Camboriu
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlos J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fabricio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Camboriu Compare
Top Goalscorer Choco
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Criciuma 34 / 100
Camboriu 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Criciuma Camboriu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Camboriu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Criciuma found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).
Camboriu has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Criciuma VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Criciuma
(Home) 13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
Page 1 of 8
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0 Goias
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0 Nautico
Page 1 of 4
Camboriu
(Away) 07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2 Camboriu
04 Mar
Camboriu
1 : 0 Criciuma
28 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 0 Avai
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0 Camboriu
15 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6
07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2 Camboriu
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0 Camboriu
08 Feb
Avai
0 : 2 Camboriu
25 Jan
Figueirense
1 : 1 Camboriu
17 Jan
Carlos Renaux
1 : 1 Camboriu
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
