Sport Picks
Criciuma vs Caravaggio
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 2025 Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma 
Match Events
2'
2'
Carlos J.
75'
75'
Thales
82'
82'
Juninho
AI Match Summary
Criciuma in this Copa Santa Catarina 2025 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Caravaggio at 1.87 per game, Criciuma at 1.06.
- Caravaggio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Caravaggio, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.84 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Criciuma vs Caravaggio
4:1
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Caravaggio vs Criciuma
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Caravaggio
1:2
Jun 19, 2022 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Criciuma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlos J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thales
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitor Goncalves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Criciuma 10 / 100
Caravaggio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Criciuma Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Criciuma scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Caravaggio has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Criciuma remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Criciuma VS Caravaggio
0.88 Goals Scored 3.2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
13% Over 2.5 80%
0% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Criciuma
(Home) 22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0 Goias
Page 1 of 4
Caravaggio
(Away) 25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1 Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0 Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2 Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1 Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0 Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0 Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2 Caravaggio
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1 Caravaggio
24 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2 Caravaggio
07 Jun
Gremio Juventus
0 : 3 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
