Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Willean Lepo
Assist: Rodrigo
29'
Bruno Alves
46'
Sub
Fabio Gomes In: Rodrigo Rodrigues
Out: Fabio Gomes

AI Match Summary

Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
65%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Cuiaba.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Criciuma taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Cuiaba
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Cuiaba
2:0
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
1:0
Jul 29, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Cuiaba
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Serie A Betano
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Willean Lepo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Cuiaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 51 / 100
Cuiaba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Cuiaba has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Cuiaba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
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Cuiaba

(Away)
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
3 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
11 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
12 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
13 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)