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Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Cuiaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Criciuma Logo

Criciuma

2 - 0
FT
Cuiaba Logo

Cuiaba

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Willean Lepo
Assist: Rodrigo
29'
Bruno Alves
46'
Sub
Fabio Gomes In: Rodrigo Rodrigues
Out: Fabio Gomes
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
34%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Cuiaba.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 21%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Cuiaba
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Cuiaba
2:0
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
1:0
Jul 29, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Cuiaba
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Serie A
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Willean Lepo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cuiaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 20 / 100
Cuiaba 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Cuiaba has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Cuiaba
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
Page 1 of 8

Cuiaba

(Away)
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
20 Oct
Londrina
1 : 0
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)