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Criciuma vs Fortaleza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Criciuma Logo

Criciuma

0 - 2
FT
Fortaleza Logo

Fortaleza

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Gui Lobo
33'
Rodrigo
43' Event
Pedro Henrique
Assist: Luiz Fernando
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Criciuma
30%
Draws
35%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Fortaleza.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Fortaleza
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 21 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.92 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Criciuma
3:2
Aug 10, 2024 Serie A
Fortaleza vs Criciuma
1:0
Jul 24, 2024 Serie A
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Serie B
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo Baya
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 41 / 100
Fortaleza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Fortaleza has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Fortaleza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
Page 1 of 8

Fortaleza

(Away)
02 Nov
Fortaleza
0 : 0
Atletico GO
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2
Fortaleza
16 Oct
Sport Recife
0 : 2
Fortaleza
12 Oct
Fortaleza
2 : 2
CRB
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
9 Sport Recife 37 14 13 10 50:42 55
10 Operario-PR 37 15 9 13 49:50 54
11 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
12 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)