Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Gui Lobo
33'
Rodrigo
43' Event
Pedro Henrique
Assist: Luiz Fernando

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Criciuma
30%
Draws
51%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Fortaleza.
  • Fortaleza are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 21%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Fortaleza
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 20 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Criciuma
3:2
Aug 10, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fortaleza vs Criciuma
1:0
Jul 24, 2024 Serie A Betano
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Serie B
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo Baya
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 20 / 100
Fortaleza 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Fortaleza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Fortaleza
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Criciuma
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Fortaleza

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 27 14 8 5 30:15 50
2 Novorizontino 27 14 7 6 47:24 49
3 Vila Nova FC 27 14 5 8 39:30 47
4 Fortaleza 27 13 8 6 30:22 47
5 Criciuma 27 13 8 6 28:21 47
6 Operario-PR 27 12 7 8 36:33 43
7 Atletico GO 27 11 10 6 32:26 43
8 CRB 27 12 6 9 40:39 42
9 Sport Recife 27 10 11 6 36:26 41
10 Cuiaba 27 9 12 6 26:21 39
11 Nautico 27 10 7 10 32:30 37
12 Athletic Club 27 9 10 8 31:30 37
13 Goias 27 10 6 11 25:33 36
14 Sao Bernardo 27 9 8 10 37:31 35
15 Botafogo SP 27 8 7 12 30:32 31
16 Ceara 27 8 7 12 28:35 31
17 Avai 27 8 5 14 28:35 29
18 Londrina 27 6 7 14 32:39 25
19 America MG 27 4 5 18 21:46 17
20 Ponte Preta 27 2 4 21 16:56 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)