Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Goias

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Criciuma host Goias in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Criciuma have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against Goias's 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Goias slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.69, favoring Criciuma. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Criciuma
28%
Draws
22%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Criciuma a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 20%
Goias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Goias
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Criciuma
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Goias
1:2
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Criciuma
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 Copa Betano do Brasil
Goias vs Criciuma
1:0
Nov 1, 2018 Serie B
Criciuma vs Goias
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 49 / 100
Goias 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Criciuma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Goias conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Goias
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

Goias

(Away)
26 Jul
America MG
1 : 0
Goias
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 20 11 7 2 23:12 40
2 EC Juventude 20 10 5 5 22:12 35
3 Operario-PR 20 10 5 5 28:25 35
4 Fortaleza 20 10 4 6 23:19 34
5 Vila Nova FC 20 10 4 6 27:24 34
6 Novorizontino 20 9 6 5 32:19 33
7 Atletico GO 20 8 7 5 23:20 31
8 CRB 20 8 5 7 31:32 29
9 Goias 20 8 5 7 21:26 29
10 Sport Recife 20 6 11 3 25:19 29
11 Athletic Club 20 6 10 4 19:18 28
12 Sao Bernardo 20 7 6 7 28:23 27
13 Nautico 20 7 4 9 24:24 25
14 Cuiaba 20 5 10 5 15:15 25
15 Botafogo SP 20 6 6 8 24:21 24
16 Ceara 20 5 7 8 20:25 22
17 Londrina 20 5 5 10 27:31 20
18 Avai 20 5 5 10 21:27 20
19 America MG 20 2 5 13 14:31 11
20 Ponte Preta 20 2 3 15 15:39 9
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)