Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Goias

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Luciano Castan
14'
Otero R.
19'
Filipe Machado

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Criciuma and Goias finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
57%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Goias a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 19%
Goias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Goias
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Goias
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Criciuma
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Goias
1:2
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Criciuma
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 Copa Betano do Brasil
Goias vs Criciuma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Luciano Castan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Goias Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 28 / 100
Goias 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Goias has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Goias registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Goias
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
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Goias

(Away)
26 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Atletico GO
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
3 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
6 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
7 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
14 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)