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Criciuma vs Novorizontino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Criciuma host Novorizontino in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Criciuma at 1 goals for, 0.79 against; Novorizontino at 1.87 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor Criciuma slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.50, favoring Novorizontino. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
50%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Criciuma on wins alone.
  • Novorizontino are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 16%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Novorizontino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Novorizontino
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
2:0
Jul 22, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Novorizontino
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 23 / 100
Novorizontino 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Novorizontino let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Novorizontino
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino

(Away)
01 Nov
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Operario-PR
24 Oct
Atletico GO
0 : 1
Novorizontino
18 Oct
Vila Nova FC
2 : 2
Novorizontino
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)