Sport Picks
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma 
Match Events
25'
25'
Danilo Barcelos
38'
38'
Rodrigo Souza
45'
45'
De Sena Araujo F. M.
Assist: Nicolas
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Criciuma and Ponte Preta finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Criciuma come out ahead of Ponte Preta on wins alone.
- Model gives Criciuma a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Criciuma have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Criciuma | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Jul 8, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
1:2
Aug 2, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
1:2
Oct 29, 2022 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer De Sena Araujo F. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diego Goncalves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ponte Preta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Criciuma 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Criciuma Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Criciuma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ponte Preta conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
Criciuma found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Criciuma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Criciuma VS Ponte Preta
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Criciuma
(Home) 30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0 America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0 Criciuma
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0 America MG
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0 Avai
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 3
Ponte Preta
(Away) 30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2 Fortaleza
16 Oct
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Atletico GO
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1 Ponte Preta
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
