Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense Women

Meninas de Jaragua W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Criciuma W play Meninas de Jaragua W in the Catarinense Women. Criciuma W are favorites here. Recently, Criciuma W averaged 3.12 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Meninas de Jaragua W averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Criciuma W won 4, Meninas de Jaragua W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Criciuma W and 1.25 for Meninas de Jaragua W. This points to a Criciuma W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%

Criciuma W

15%

Draws

13%

Meninas de Jaragua W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Criciuma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Criciuma W picked up more points recently compared to Meninas de Jaragua W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Criciuma W Clean Sheet 19%

Meninas de Jaragua W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Criciuma W	Meninas de Jaragua W
Matches Played	34	12
Wins	20	5
Draws	2	1
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	3.12	2
Goals Conceded	1.15	2
Expected Goals (xG)	4.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Catarinense Women

Criciuma W vs Meninas de Jaragua W

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Aug 3, 2025 Catarinense Women

Meninas de Jaragua W vs Criciuma W

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Sep 28, 2024 Catarinense Women

Meninas de Jaragua W vs Criciuma W

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

0:5

Sep 8, 2024 Catarinense Women

Criciuma W vs Meninas de Jaragua W

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma W 69 / 100

Meninas de Jaragua W 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Criciuma W Meninas de Jaragua W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Criciuma W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.3%

1.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Criciuma W attacking → ← attacking Meninas de Jaragua W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Meninas de Jaragua W let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Criciuma W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Meninas de Jaragua W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 16

4.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avai Kindermann W	6	6	0	0	46:0	18
2	Tunense W	6	2	2	2	8:13	8
3	Cometa W	6	1	2	3	5:20	5
4	CE Guarani W	6	0	2	4	2:28	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma W	6	6	0	0	33:1	18
2	Marcilio Dias W	6	3	1	2	12:4	10
3	Meninas de Jaragua W	6	2	1	3	13:12	7
4	Paysandu-SC W	6	0	0	6	1:42	0