Sport Picks

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Criciuma W vs Paysandu-SC W

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Criciuma W play Paysandu-SC W in the Catarinense Women. Criciuma W are favorites here. Recently, Criciuma W averaged 3.12 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Paysandu-SC W averaged 0.17 goals scored and 5.75 conceded. In past meetings, Criciuma W won 4, Paysandu-SC W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 30, 2025 ended 11:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Criciuma W and 1.00 for Paysandu-SC W. This points to a Criciuma W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Criciuma W
25%
Draws
15%
Paysandu-SC W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Criciuma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Criciuma W picked up more points recently compared to Paysandu-SC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Criciuma W Clean Sheet 23%
Paysandu-SC W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma W Paysandu-SC W
Matches Played 34 12
Wins 20 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 3.12 0.17
Goals Conceded 1.15 5.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 8.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Catarinense Women
Criciuma W vs Paysandu-SC W
11:0
Aug 24, 2025 Catarinense Women
Paysandu-SC W vs Criciuma W
0:11
Oct 5, 2024 Catarinense Women
Criciuma W vs Paysandu-SC W
7:1
Sep 1, 2024 Catarinense Women
Paysandu-SC W vs Criciuma W
0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma W 59 / 100
Paysandu-SC W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma W Paysandu-SC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Criciuma W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Criciuma W attacking → ← attacking Paysandu-SC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Paysandu-SC W let in goals in 50% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 9.25 goals.

Criciuma W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paysandu-SC W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 0
5.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 8.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Avai Kindermann W660046:018
2Tunense W62228:138
3Cometa W61235:205
4CE Guarani W60242:282
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Criciuma W660033:118
2Marcilio Dias W631212:410
3Meninas de Jaragua W621313:127
4Paysandu-SC W60061:420