Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2007

Sao Paulo AP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cristal AP play Sao Paulo AP in the Campeonato Amapaense 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cristal AP averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2 conceded. Sao Paulo AP averaged 1.12 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. In past meetings, Cristal AP won 4, Sao Paulo AP won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2011 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Cristal AP and 1.48 for Sao Paulo AP. This points to a Cristal AP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Cristal AP

15%

Draws

38%

Sao Paulo AP

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cristal AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Cristal AP picked up more points recently compared to Sao Paulo AP.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.48 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Cristal AP Clean Sheet 16%

Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cristal AP	Sao Paulo AP
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	6	7
Draws	3	5
Losses	21	22
Goals Scored	1.13	1.12
Goals Conceded	2	2.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2011 Amapaense

Cristal AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Oct 28, 2009 Amapaense

Cristal AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

May 23, 2008 Amapaense

Cristal AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

4:2

Jul 5, 2007 Amapaense

Sao Paulo AP vs Cristal AP

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:5

May 26, 2007 Amapaense

Cristal AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cristal AP 46 / 100

Sao Paulo AP 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cristal AP Sao Paulo AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cristal AP or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cristal AP attacking → ← attacking Sao Paulo AP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cristal AP scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sao Paulo AP let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Cristal AP went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo AP lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 26

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.71

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SAO Jose	5	4	0	1	13:7	12
2	Trem	5	3	1	1	11:3	10
3	Cristal AP	5	3	1	1	9:6	10
4	Amapa	5	2	1	2	6:6	7
5	Sao Paulo AP	5	1	0	4	5:12	3
6	Santos AP	5	0	1	4	5:15	1