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Crixas vs Bom Jesus

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Crixas host Bom Jesus in the Goiano 3. This one's hard to separate. Crixas have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against Bom Jesus's 3 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Crixas have won 0 to Bom Jesus's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.63, favoring Bom Jesus. Bom Jesus in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Crixas
17%
Draws
70%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bom Jesus has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Crixas.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Bom Jesus.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Goiano 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Crixas Clean Sheet 14%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crixas Bom Jesus
Matches Played 11 11
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 0 0
Goals Scored 1.5 3
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Goiano 3
Crixas vs Bom Jesus
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crixas 15 / 100
Bom Jesus 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crixas Bom Jesus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crixas scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Bom Jesus let in goals in 45% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Crixas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bom Jesus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crixas VS Bom Jesus
1.5 Goals Scored 3
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bom Jesus1192033:529
2Mineiros1190223:627
3Crixas1174017:325
4ABD FC1172231:423
5America GO1163217:921
6Guanabara City1161422:1319
7Santa Helena1133517:1812
8Aparecida EC1123611:129
9Pires do Rio1123615:229
10Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1121810:347
11Rioverdense1110107:403
12Itumbiara1110109:463