Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia U17 vs Italy U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Salvai P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Croatia U17 and Italy U17 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Croatia U17
30%
Draws
43%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Croatia U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 23
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.16
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
Croatia U17 vs Italy U17
0:1
Mar 26, 2025 Euro U17
Croatia U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
Nov 2, 2018 Euro U17
Croatia U17 vs Italy U17
0:3
May 3, 2017 Euro U17
Croatia U17 vs Italy U17
0:1
May 19, 2015 Euro U17
Croatia U17 vs Italy U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvai P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U17 35 / 100
Italy U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U17 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Italy U17 conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Croatia U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U17 VS Italy U17
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U17

(Home)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Estonia U17
1 : 3
Croatia U17
25 May
Croatia U17
0 : 2
Belgium U17
31 Mar
Poland U17
1 : 1
Croatia U17
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
Page 1 of 7