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Croatia U17 vs Slovenia U17

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadium NK Samobor
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AI Match Summary

Croatia U17 play Slovenia U17 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Croatia U17 averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Slovenia U17 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Croatia U17 won 3, Slovenia U17 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 26, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Croatia U17 and 1.60 for Slovenia U17. This points to a Croatia U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Croatia U17
28%
Draws
23%
Slovenia U17
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Croatia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Croatia U17 picked up more points recently compared to Slovenia U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.60 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Croatia U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Slovenia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U17 Slovenia U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.1 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U17 vs Slovenia U17
2:2
Sep 24, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U17 vs Slovenia U17
1:0
Mar 28, 2023 Euro U17
Slovenia U17 vs Croatia U17
1:2
Aug 29, 2013 Friendly International
Slovenia U17 vs Croatia U17
1:2
Aug 27, 2013 Friendly International
Croatia U17 vs Slovenia U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matenda T. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Slovenia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Plava T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Letonja T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U17 47 / 100
Slovenia U17 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U17 Slovenia U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Croatia U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Croatia U17 attacking → ← attacking Slovenia U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U17 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Slovenia U17 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Croatia U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Slovenia U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 35
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.33
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33