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Stadium Background

Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Baric I.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Bogdanov D.
Assist: Lyusin P.
48' Event
Kaliuzhnyi N.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between Croatia U19 and Ukraine U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Croatia U19
15%
Draws
46%
Ukraine U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ukraine U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Croatia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Ukraine U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 Ukraine U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.58 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ukraine U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaliuzhnyi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 31 / 100
Ukraine U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 Ukraine U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Croatia U19 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Ukraine U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Croatia U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U19 VS Ukraine U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U19

(Home)
04 Oct
Croatia U19
2 : 0
Turkey U19
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Croatia U19
1 : 2
France U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
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Ukraine U19

(Away)
30 Sept
Scotland U19
0 : 2
Ukraine U19
27 Sept
Germany U19
0 : 0
Ukraine U19
24 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 1
Ukraine U19
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Germany U19 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Denmark U19 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Wales U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Croatia U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Italy U19 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 Serbia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (5th-6th places)