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Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Nantporth Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Croatia U19 play Ukraine U19 in the Euro U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Croatia U19 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Ukraine U19 averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Croatia U19 won 0, Ukraine U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Croatia U19 and 1.38 for Ukraine U19. This points to a Croatia U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Croatia U19
21%
Draws
38%
Ukraine U19
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Croatia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia U19 picked up more points recently compared to Ukraine U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Ukraine U19 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 Ukraine U19
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ukraine U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaliuzhnyi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 40 / 100
Ukraine U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 Ukraine U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Croatia U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Croatia U19 attacking → ← attacking Ukraine U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U19 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ukraine U19 let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Croatia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ukraine U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 40
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19220010:06
2Germany U1922008:36
3Denmark U1920023:70
4Wales U1920020:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ukraine U1911003:13
2Italy U1911002:03
3Croatia U1910011:30
4Serbia U1910010:20