Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia U21 vs Georgia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Tue, Nov 19, 2024
3 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Beljo D.
Assist: Crnac A.
20'
Khvadagiani S.
27'
Mamatsashvili S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 2025 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Croatia U21
30%
Draws
19%
Georgia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia U21 have won more games recently than Georgia U21.
  • Croatia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Croatia U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Croatia U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U21 Georgia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Georgia U21
3:3
Nov 15, 2024 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21
1:0
Sep 6, 2016 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21
2:2
Sep 3, 2015 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Georgia U21
1:0
Aug 15, 2012 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soticek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Georgia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagnidze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lominadze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U21 95 / 100
Georgia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U21 Georgia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U21 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Croatia U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Georgia U21 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U21 VS Georgia U21
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U21

(Home)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
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Georgia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Finland U21 6
Norway U21 3
Belgium U21 1
Czech Republic U21 3
Georgia U21 4
Croatia U21 3